NOT DEAD YET.

Hillary Clinton got crushed in Wisconsin and has had a bad February, which makes todays new polls kind of surprising. Keep in mind that, as of a couple days ago, Obama was up 7 in the national polls and that he pulled to within 5 in Texas before Wisconsin's primary.

Gallup Daily Tracking: Clinton 45, Obama 44
Fox News/Opinion Dynamics National: Clinton 44, Obama 44
Diageo/The Hotline National: Clinton 45, Obama 43

IVR Tex. Feb 20: Clinton 50, Obama 45
Franklin & Marshall College Penn. Feb 13-18: Clinton 44, Obama 32

Caveats apply, of course, but I think it's clear that there's still a lot of room to move in this race, thanks in large part to proportional delegate allocation. If the Obama backlash is on the horizon, Clinton will get an opening that she's got a decent shot of taking advantage of. Either way, the continued splitting of national Democrats is going to make convention season very interesting.

Posted by Aaron S. Veenstra ::: 2008:02:21:13:45